SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for USA had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest USA win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Uruguay |
35.54% ( -0.05) | 25.32% ( 0.01) | 39.15% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.78% ( -0.05) | 47.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.55% ( -0.05) | 69.46% ( 0.05) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.05) | 25.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( -0.07) | 60.77% ( 0.08) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% | 23.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0) | 58.02% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 39.15% |
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