SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for USA had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | USA |
| 50.21% | 26.74% | 23.05% |
| Both teams to score 44.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.28% | 58.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.75% | 79.25% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% | 23.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% | 57.57% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% | 41.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% | 77.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.05% |
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