SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Brazil |
38.48% ( -2.51) | 29.26% ( -0.49) | 32.26% ( 3) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( 2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.04% ( 2.21) | 62.96% ( -2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% ( 1.57) | 82.44% ( -1.57) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.37) | 31.7% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( -0.43) | 68.12% ( 0.43) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( 3.53) | 35.85% ( -3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.37% ( 3.45) | 72.63% ( -3.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( -1.26) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.81)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.9% Total : 38.47% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.97)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.62)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.01% Total : 32.25% |
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