SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Argentina had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Argentina win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Argentina |
47.77% ( -1.55) | 26.22% ( 0.6) | 26.02% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( -1.63) | 54.71% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -1.37) | 76.03% ( 1.37) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -1.37) | 22.91% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( -2.06) | 56.68% ( 2.07) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.07) | 36.28% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -0.07) | 73.07% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.88% Total : 26.02% |
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