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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
EN

Brazil
1 - 1
Ecuador

Militao (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mena (53')
Estupinan (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
BrazilDrawEcuador
64.95%21.51%13.54%
Both teams to score 43.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77%52.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06%73.94%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61%15.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81%44.19%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.99%49.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.04%83.96%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 64.93%
    Ecuador 13.54%
    Draw 21.5%
BrazilDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 14.11%
2-0 @ 13.2%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 5.88%
4-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.1%
5-0 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 64.93%
1-1 @ 10.06%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.5%
0-1 @ 5.38%
1-2 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 13.54%

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