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EN
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 23, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
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Ecuador
2 - 2
Peru

Tapia (23' og.), Preciado (45+3')
Hincapie (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lapadula (49'), Carrillo (54')
Ramos (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Peru had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawPeru
42.9%24%33.1%
Both teams to score 60.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.32%41.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92%64.08%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34%19.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36%51.64%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39%24.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89%59.1%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 42.9%
    Peru 33.1%
    Draw 24%
EcuadorDrawPeru
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.1%

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