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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2021 at 1am UK
 
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Brazil
4 - 0
Peru

Sandro (12'), Neymar (68'), Ribeiro (89'), Richarlison (90+3')
Jesus (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramos (23'), Yotun (44'), Tavara (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.39%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawPeru
66.93%21.26%11.8%
Both teams to score 39.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19%54.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88%76.11%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39%15.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.4%44.59%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.52%53.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.05%86.95%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 66.92%
    Peru 11.8%
    Draw 21.26%
BrazilDrawPeru
1-0 @ 15.5%
2-0 @ 14.39%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 8.92%
3-1 @ 5.58%
4-0 @ 4.14%
4-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.75%
5-0 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 66.92%
1-1 @ 9.7%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 2.82%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.26%
0-1 @ 5.22%
1-2 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 11.8%

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