Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.39%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.