Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Peru had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
