Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
