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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2021 at 12am UK
colombia
AN

Colombia
2 - 2
Argentina

Muriel (51' pen.), Borja (90+4')
Mina (34'), Zapata (45+3'), Medina (47'), Tesillo (57'), Borja (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romero (3'), Paredes (8')
Romero (45+9'), Otamendi (49'), Paredes (62'), Pezzella (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
ColombiaDrawArgentina
24.12%23.75%52.12%
Both teams to score 54.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75%46.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46%68.53%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7%33.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08%69.92%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27%17.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6%48.4%
Score Analysis
    Colombia 24.12%
    Argentina 52.12%
    Draw 23.75%
ColombiaDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 6.49%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 3.57%
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.12%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-2 @ 8.83%
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 2.2%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.12%

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