SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
52.54% ( -0.05) | 26.04% ( 0) | 21.42% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.93% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.24% ( 0.02) | 57.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.5% ( 0.02) | 78.5% ( -0.02) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( -0.01) | 22.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( -0.02) | 55.45% ( 0.02) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.68% ( 0.06) | 42.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.29% ( 0.05) | 78.71% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.52% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.42% |
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