With only one away win on the board in La Liga, a stuttering Sevilla side are at serious risk of elimination from the Copa del Rey. Getafe are hard to beat at home, so it is the capital club that will book a place in the quarter-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
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