Real Oviedo are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Atletico, and we are expecting a close contest on Wednesday. Shocks can happen at this stage of the competition, but Simeone is expected to select a strong side, so Atletico should progress into the last-16 stage of the tournament.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.