SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Real Oviedo |
50.1% ( -0.05) | 28.49% ( -0.1) | 21.41% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 39.03% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.58% ( 0.39) | 65.42% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.81% ( 0.27) | 84.18% ( -0.27) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 0.16) | 26.6% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( 0.21) | 61.82% ( -0.22) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.17% ( 0.39) | 46.82% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.65% ( 0.3) | 82.35% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 16.49% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.41% |
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