Both sides could be a little tired having competed in the Copa Sudamericana in midweek, and we can envisage a low-scoring affair given how finely balanced this tie is after America Mineiro's narrow victory in the first leg.
However, the visitors have had the edge over Corinthians in their recent battles, and they may prove to be a little more determined given their opportunity to win this competition for the first time in the club's history.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.89%).
1.86) 
-2.04) 
