Corinthians appear to have recovered from their dreadful start to the season, and there is little doubt that they have far more offensive firepower at their disposal than their forthcoming opponents.
America Mineiro could find themselves bottom of the table should Coritiba avoid defeat and they lose this game, which is what we expect to happen.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
1.01) 
-0.21) 
