Based on recent meetings, very few goals are to be expected at the Neo Quimica Arena on Sunday, with only seven being scored in the last six encounters between the two sides.
Corinthians may have struggled in their recent outings against Mineiro, but they should be able to seal a relatively comfortable three points here based on their positive start to the campaign and their lack of travelling in midweek, unlike their visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 10.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.62%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
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