As their defensive woes show no sign of ending - and they have conceded goals at a rate of two per game on home soil - America are set to suffer another loss this weekend. Inter have gone unbeaten through their last seven matches in all competitions, so they can record a third straight win against one of Serie A's strugglers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Internacional in this match.
0.05) 
-0.05) 
