MX23RW : Tuesday, July 5 20:51:41
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Tuesday, July 5
Jun 23, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Corinthians
4 - 0
Santos
 
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Santos

Playing without a naturalised defender may have worked for Bustos against Bragantino, but they still allowed some scoring opportunities, while benefitting from the fact that Braga leave many gaps behind their fullbacks. Peixe can expect less time in the final third against a Corinthians squad who close you down quickly and tend to capitalise on their opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Santos had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawSantos
56.44%24.98%18.59%
Both teams to score 43.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93%57.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05%77.95%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8%20.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49%52.51%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.93%45.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01%80.99%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 56.43%
    Santos 18.59%
    Draw 24.97%
CorinthiansDrawSantos
1-0 @ 14.56%
2-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 4.95%
4-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 56.43%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 18.59%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Goias
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Corinthians
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-0 Juventude
Saturday, June 11 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, June 5 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, May 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 2-2 Bragantino
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Santos
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Santos
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
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