A mouth-watering clash early on in the Serie A campaign, Santos will be keen to fall back on their home record when Palmeiras visit this weekend.
While they have been shaky on the road so far, do not expect title-hopefuls Palmeiras to roll over on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Santos had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.
-0.09) 
0.14) 
