At the moment, these sides are separated by nine places in the table, and although that margin is a mere four points, Santos have more structure and organisation than Juventude, so we expect the home side will struggle to break down the defensive set-up of Peixe.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 42.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
