Given the extent to which this tie already feels concluded, we can envisage a fairly drab affair ensuing on Thursday.
Neither side are likely to wish to exert too much energy ahead of important matches at the weekend, so Corinthians should comfortably progress having already put in the hard yards in the home leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.