Santos must find an improvement in form and quickly if they wish to challenge higher up the table this season. Unlikely to threaten Mineiro's chances of a victory this weekend, expect the hosts to take a straightforward victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Santos
71.85% ( 1.45)	18.3% ( -0.77)	9.86% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 41.34% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92% (

1.32)

48.08% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76% (

1.2)

70.24% (

-1.2)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

0.8)

12.03% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.5% (

1.66)

37.5% (

-1.66)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47% (

-0.53)

53% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.35% (

-0.34)

86.65% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 71.83%

Santos 9.86%

Draw 18.3%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Santos
2-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 71.83%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.3%	0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.86%