Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.