Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.
