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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
L(

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Liverpool

Heredia (61'), Villalba (90+5')
Villalba (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bentancourt (50' pen.)
Meli (23'), Martirena (63'), Bentancourt (65'), Zunino (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Platense
Saturday, June 3 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Racing
Friday, June 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Liverpool

Having kept three clean sheets across their opening four group games – netting four goals in the process – Argentinos Juniors are expected to notch another low-scoring victory over Liverpool, whose struggles on the road look set to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawLiverpool
68.6% (0.0010000000000048 0) 20.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 11.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.02% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (-0.107 -0.11)52.55% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (-0.093 -0.09)74.21% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)14.34% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)42.18% (0.067 0.07)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)53.28% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.17% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)86.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 68.58%
    Liverpool 11.15%
    Draw 20.26%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 14.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 14.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 68.58%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.26%
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Platense
Saturday, June 3 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, May 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Corinthians
Thursday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, May 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, May 13 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-2 Independiente
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Racing
Friday, June 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Independiente
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Liverpool
Saturday, May 13 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Maldonado
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boston River 1-3 Liverpool
Friday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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