SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
26.76% ( -0.18) | 29.86% ( -0.06) | 43.38% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 40.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.67% ( 0.11) | 66.32% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.19% ( 0.08) | 84.81% ( -0.08) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% ( -0.09) | 42.16% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.43% ( -0.08) | 78.57% ( 0.08) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( 0.2) | 30.55% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( 0.23) | 66.77% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.14% Total : 26.76% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.85% | 0-1 @ 15.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 43.38% |
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