SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Boca Juniors |
52.29% ( 1.17) | 26.04% ( -0.59) | 21.66% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.47% ( 1.48) | 57.53% ( -1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% ( 1.16) | 78.32% ( -1.16) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 1.14) | 22.1% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% ( 1.69) | 55.46% ( -1.7) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.06% ( 0.24) | 41.94% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.62% ( 0.21) | 78.38% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.29% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.66% |
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