Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
