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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio OlĂ­mpico de la UCV

Caracas
1 - 2
Junior

Akinyoola (35')
Flores (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borja (69'), Ditta (90+1')
Moreno (57'), Ditta (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Caracas and Atletico Junior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
CaracasDrawAtletico Junior
40.93%28.27%30.8%
Both teams to score 46.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.07%59.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.82%80.18%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24%28.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4%64.6%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Caracas 40.92%
    Atletico Junior 30.8%
    Draw 28.26%
CaracasDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 10.57%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.8%

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