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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 8, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Torres (74')
Urribarri (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sandez (78'), Valentini (85')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Patronato and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawBoca Juniors
22%25.25%52.75%
Both teams to score 47.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.74%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22%39.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55%76.45%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39%20.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84%53.16%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 22%
    Boca Juniors 52.74%
    Draw 25.25%
PatronatoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 7.56%
2-1 @ 5.5%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 22%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 12.95%
0-2 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-3 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-4 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.96%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 52.74%

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