Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.