Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.
