SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Cruzeiro |
43.3% ( 0.54) | 26.35% ( -0.46) | 30.34% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( 1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( 1.75) | 52.96% ( -1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( 1.47) | 74.56% ( -1.47) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( 1.05) | 24.28% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.35% ( 1.47) | 58.65% ( -1.47) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.84) | 31.98% ( -0.84) |
