Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
