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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas

Oriente
1 - 3
Junior

Guaycochea (51')
Garcia (38'), Roca (48'), Caire (90+3'), Quinonez (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Albornoz (36', 66'), Hinestroza (90+7')
Moreno (23'), Rosero (30'), Albornoz (43'), Arias (49')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Oriente Petrolero and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Oriente PetroleroDrawAtletico Junior
35.89%25.06%39.05%
Both teams to score 57.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02%45.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72%68.28%
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98%25.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31%59.69%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72%57.28%
Score Analysis
    Oriente Petrolero 35.89%
    Atletico Junior 39.05%
    Draw 25.05%
Oriente PetroleroDrawAtletico Junior
2-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.74%
3-0 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-1 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.05%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Oriente 1-3 Union
Tuesday, April 12 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 3-0 Oriente
Wednesday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 3-0 Royal Pari
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Royal Pari 2-3 Oriente
Tuesday, March 8 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 0-0 Vasco
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Oriente
Thursday, February 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 3-0 Fluminense
Thursday, April 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 1-1 Junior
Wednesday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 3-1 La Equidad
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: La Equidad 0-0 Junior
Friday, March 11 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 0-1 Junior
Thursday, July 22 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 3-4 Libertad
Thursday, July 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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