Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.