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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 12, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres

Guarani
0 - 2
Atletico Nacional


Fernandez (61'), Villalva (90+3'), Florentin (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Villalva (23' og.), Rovira (90+8')
Barrera (81')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Guarani and Atletico Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Club GuaraniDrawAtletico Nacional
35.42%27.62%36.96%
Both teams to score 48.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16%56.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24%77.76%
Club Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26%66.74%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4%65.6%
Score Analysis
    Club Guarani 35.42%
    Atletico Nacional 36.95%
    Draw 27.62%
Club GuaraniDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.42%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.99%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.95%

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