SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | River Plate |
28.24% ( -0.09) | 25.58% ( -0.03) | 46.18% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( 0.06) | 50.84% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( 0.05) | 72.72% ( -0.06) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.04) | 32.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( -0.05) | 68.94% ( 0.05) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.08) | 22% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( 0.13) | 55.32% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Libertad | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
