Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.