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CL
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
F

Libertad
0 - 1
Fortaleza


Barboza (67'), Campuzano (68'), Piris (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welison (20')
Alexandre (32'), Britez (37'), Augusto (53'), Pochettino (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Libertad
Friday, July 21 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-3 Bragantino
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Club Libertad 2-0 Fortaleza

Libertad's current form means they are backed to triumph against out-of-sorts Fortaleza, who could start August as they ended July — with a defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawFortaleza
47.27% (-0.241 -0.24) 26.26% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 26.46% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-0.122 -0.12)54.59% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.102 -0.1)75.93% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.164 -0.16)23.09% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.239 -0.24)56.94% (0.238 0.24)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (0.085000000000001 0.09)72.61% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 47.27%
    Fortaleza 26.46%
    Draw 26.26%
Club LibertadDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.13%
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 47.27%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Libertad
Friday, July 21 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 2-1 Tigre
Friday, July 14 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Libertad
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-2 Libertad
Wednesday, May 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 Athletico PR
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-3 Bragantino
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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