Lara
2 - 3
Bolivar

(Bolivar win 7-2 on aggregate)

Chirinos (2'), Melean (28')
Segovia (38'), Pernia (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Savio (21'), da Costa (34', 39')
da Costa (60'), Villamil (87')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Deportivo Lara and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Lara win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Lara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Lara	Draw	Bolivar
57.74%	24.1%	18.16%

Both teams to score 45.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.53%

54.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16%

75.83%

Deportivo Lara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.3%

18.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.94%

50.06%

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.95%

44.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.84%

80.16%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Lara 57.73%

Bolivar 18.16%

Draw 24.1%

Deportivo Lara	Draw	Bolivar
1-0 @ 13.81% 2-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.31% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 0.91% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.15% Total : 57.73%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.75% 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.66% Total : 18.16%