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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
F

Santa Fe
1 - 2
Fluminense

Giraldo (51')
Luis Ramos Sanchez (37'), Giraldo (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fred (5', 46')
Egidio (56'), Bobadilla (90+5')
Egidio (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Santa FeDrawFluminense
37.53%25.13%37.33%
Both teams to score 57.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74%46.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45%68.54%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75%24.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39%58.6%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64%24.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24%58.76%
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 37.53%
    Fluminense 37.33%
    Draw 25.12%
Santa FeDrawFluminense
2-1 @ 8.37%
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 0.99%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 11.81%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.91%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-1 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 37.33%

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