Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
