SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
50.99% ( 0.62) | 25.02% ( 0.11) | 23.98% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% ( -1.05) | 51.64% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% ( -0.92) | 73.43% ( 0.92) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.16) | 20.26% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( -0.26) | 52.6% ( 0.26) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( -1.21) | 36.38% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.83% ( -1.25) | 73.16% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.99% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.98% |
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