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Brasileiro | Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
VD

Gremio
1 - 0
Vasco

Suarez (46')
Alves (45+5'), Martins (48'), Nathan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomes (75')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Goias
Thursday, November 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-4 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
50.99% (0.619 0.62) 25.02% (0.107 0.11) 23.98% (-0.726 -0.73)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-1.074 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-1.045 -1.05)51.64% (1.046 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (-0.917 -0.92)73.43% (0.916 0.92)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)20.26% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-0.257 -0.26)52.6% (0.257 0.26)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (-1.214 -1.21)36.38% (1.215 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-1.247 -1.25)73.16% (1.248 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 50.99%
    Vasco da Gama 23.98%
    Draw 25.02%
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.296 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.99%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 23.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Goias
Thursday, November 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, November 26 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-4 Gremio
Thursday, November 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-2 Gremio
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-4 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Vasco
Saturday, November 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-2 Vasco
Wednesday, November 22 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Botafogo
Monday, November 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Vasco
Thursday, November 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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