SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
55.63% ( 0.02) | 23.2% ( -0.01) | 21.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.02) | 47.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.02) | 69.33% ( -0.02) |
| Melgar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( 0.02) | 16.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.3% ( 0.03) | 46.71% ( -0.03) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( -0) | 36.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( -0) | 73.28% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melgar | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
