SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Liverpool |
25.73% ( -0.04) | 27.04% ( 0.01) | 47.23% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.11% ( -0.06) | 57.89% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.4% ( -0.05) | 78.6% ( 0.04) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -0.07) | 38.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( -0.07) | 75.04% ( 0.06) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.01) | 24.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( -0.02) | 59.02% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 47.23% |
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