SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Penarol |
27.81% ( -0.01) | 27.04% ( 0) | 45.15% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.29% ( -0.01) | 56.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.01) | 77.66% ( 0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( -0.01) | 35.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( -0.01) | 72.65% ( 0.01) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( -0) | 25.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.3% ( -0) | 59.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.81% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.14% |
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