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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
2 - 2
Olimpia

Pabon (26'), Castro (65')
Candelo (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cardozo (48'), Bruera (78')
Paiva (29'), Cardozo (72'), Romero (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Olimpia.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Atletico Nacional 3-1 Melgar
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Olimpia 1-0 Patronato
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawOlimpia
36.26% (-0.402 -0.4) 27.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 35.91% (0.407 0.41)
Both teams to score 48.34% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.42% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57.58% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)78.36% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)30.37% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44% (-0.287 -0.29)66.56% (0.285 0.28)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (0.26599999999999 0.27)30.58% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (0.316 0.32)66.82% (-0.315 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 36.25%
    Olimpia 35.91%
    Draw 27.82%
Atletico NacionalDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.25%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.91%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 3-1 Melgar
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Patronato 1-2 Atletico Nacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 1-1 Olimpia
Friday, March 4 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Olimpia 3-1 Atletico Nacional
Friday, February 25 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Catolica 2-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, May 27 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, May 20 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Olimpia 1-0 Patronato
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Melgar 1-1 Olimpia
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-0 Olimpia (5-3 pen.)
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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