Olimpia
3 - 1
Atletico Nacional

(Olimpia win 4-2 on aggregate)

Silva (7'), Cardozo (81', 90+2')
Silva (64'), Salazar (85'), Camacho (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrera (46')
Gomez (63'), Pabon (64'), Palacio (72')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Olimpia and Atletico Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.

Result
Olimpia	Draw	Atletico Nacional
47.17%	24.4%	28.43%

Both teams to score 56.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29%

45.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97%

68.02%

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66%

51.34%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33%

65.67%

Score Analysis

Olimpia 47.17%

Atletico Nacional 28.43%

Draw 24.4%

Olimpia	Draw	Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.07% Total : 47.17%	1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.43%