SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
30.6% ( -0.23) | 30.4% ( 0.1) | 39% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.5% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.32) | 66.76% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.9% ( -0.22) | 85.1% ( 0.22) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.36) | 39.22% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( -0.34) | 75.93% ( 0.34) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.09) | 33.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( -0.1) | 69.99% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.5% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.39% | 0-1 @ 14.36% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.99% |
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