Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
38.15% (![]() | 30.51% (![]() | 31.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.08% (![]() | 66.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.79% (![]() | 85.21% (![]() |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% (![]() | 33.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% (![]() | 70.66% (![]() |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% (![]() | 38.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% (![]() | 75.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
1-0 @ 14.2% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 13.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.5% | 0-1 @ 12.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 1.57% Total : 31.34% |
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