SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
38.15% ( -0.1) | 30.51% ( -0.01) | 31.35% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.44% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.08% ( 0.04) | 66.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.79% ( 0.03) | 85.21% ( -0.03) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.04) | 33.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0.04) | 70.66% ( 0.04) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% ( 0.1) | 38.73% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.53% ( 0.1) | 75.47% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.5% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 31.34% |
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