Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bocanegra (70')
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Monagas 0-1 Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira are in excellent form, winning four of their last five games in all competitions, including a 2-1 success in the reverse game against Monagas. We are expecting Tuesday's affair to be close in terms of the scoreline, but the visitors should have enough quality to secure a huge three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monagas win with a probability of 44.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monagas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monagas in this match.
| Result |
| Monagas | Draw | Deportivo Pereira |
44.46% ( 0.04) | 29.02% ( -0.02) | 26.52% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.02% ( 0.02) |
| 36.03% ( 0.03) | 63.97% ( -0.03) |
| 16.84% ( 0.02) | 83.16% ( -0.02) |
| 71.22% ( 0.04) | 28.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.38% ( 0.05) | 64.62% ( -0.05) |
| 58.99% ( -0) | 41.01% ( 0) |
