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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas

Dep. Pereira
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Rodriguez (78')
Quintero (9'), Fory (68'), Medina (70'), Bocanegra (80'), Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Briasco (33'), Weigandt (69'), Figal (74')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Pereira and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Dep. Pereira 2-1 Monagas
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, May 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pereira win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportivo Pereira in this match.

Result
Deportivo PereiraDrawBoca Juniors
37.07% (0.133 0.13) 29.16% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 33.77% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.57% (-0.24 -0.24)62.42% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.95% (-0.176 -0.18)82.05% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Deportivo Pereira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)32.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)68.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-0.267 -0.27)34.49% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (-0.285 -0.29)71.21% (0.285 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Pereira 37.07%
    Boca Juniors 33.77%
    Draw 29.15%
Deportivo PereiraDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.59% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 37.07%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.14% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 11.86% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 33.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 2-1 Monagas
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Dep. Pereira
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, April 6 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, May 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-0 Belgrano
Sunday, May 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, May 7 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-2 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Racing
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 2-2 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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