Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
38.09% (![]() | 25.54% (![]() | 36.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.86% (![]() | 48.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.7% (![]() | 70.3% (![]() |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% (![]() | 24.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.61% (![]() | 59.39% (![]() |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% (![]() | 25.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
1-0 @ 8.91% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.67% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.37% |
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